SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 1
KÖL
25%
24%
52%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 1
ROT
12%
22%
66%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ERK
3 - 0
HUL
31%
26%
44%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
WHE
2 - 1
ERK
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ERK
2 - 0
SPE
21%
25%
54%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 1
AAA
31%
25%
43%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 0
WER
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
WEG
1 - 0
AAA
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 0
KÖL
45%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 0
SCH
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |