Erizana vs Sporting Guardés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PON
1 - 0
ERI
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ERI
2 - 2
GRA
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PON
2 - 3
ERI
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ERI
2 - 2
BEL
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CDV
0 - 1
ERI
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Guardés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 3
PON
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MOA
3 - 1
GUA
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 2
UDE
42%
23%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
UDE
46%
23%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |