Eritrea vs Eswatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
KEN
1 - 2
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 1
TAN
11%
19%
70%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 0
BDI
8%
15%
77%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
RWA
3 - 2
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
ERI
2 - 3
KEN
6%
15%
79%
|
21 | 74 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SWZ
0 - 2
ANG
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SWZ
3 - 1
LSO
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
SWZ
1 - 2
ZIM
16%
25%
60%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
MOZ
4 - 0
SWZ
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
MAD
0 - 2
SWZ
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |