Erith & Belvedere vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erith & Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ERI
1 - 2
GRE
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BOR
0 - 2
ERI
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ERI
2 - 5
TIL
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
MAL
1 - 1
ERI
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 3
UXB
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
WAL
3 - 0
AVE
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 1
BEA
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 1
AVE
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 1
EAS
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BEA
2 - 1
AVE
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |