Ergene Velimese Spor vs 76 Iğdır analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
15º
14º
71
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 12 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergene Velimese Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
OFS
1 - 1
ERG
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ERG
0 - 2
KBS
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 1
ERG
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ERG
2 - 0
GUM
42%
26%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KUS
4 - 3
ERG
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
76 Iğdır
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
IGD
8 - 0
EBE
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KBS
1 - 2
IGD
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
KAY
2 - 1
IGD
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IGD
1 - 1
AKS
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KAH
1 - 1
IGD
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |