Erfurt-Nord vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
61.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
AUE
4 - 1
ERF
66%
20%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ERF
2 - 0
ZWI
25%
27%
48%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GER
3 - 0
ERF
74%
17%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ERF
0 - 0
DRE
13%
22%
65%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 3
SAC
11%
20%
69%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
MAG
3 - 2
DRE
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
CZJ
3 - 1
MAG
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
MAG
1 - 2
POS
83%
11%
6%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
OBE
0 - 0
MAG
22%
26%
53%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
MAG
4 - 1
SON
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |