Apertura Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
La Equidad vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
EQU
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 2
SFE
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
PAS
0 - 2
EQU
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
AME
0 - 1
EQU
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
2 - 5
CAL
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
7 - 1
PAT
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |