Civil Sporting vs Red Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EPA
0 - 3
MOY
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EPA
1 - 1
MWF
53%
22%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 2
EPA
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
EPA
2 - 0
BLA
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
EPA
3 - 1
SIL
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RED
2 - 0
MAF
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RED
0 - 0
ESC
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MOY
2 - 0
RED
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MAF
0 - 0
RED
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RED
0 - 3
BLU
44%
25%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |