Envigado vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
ENV
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 1
ENV
38%
29%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ENV
2 - 1
PAS
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ENV
1 - 0
AGU
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ENV
1 - 1
IND
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 1
ENV
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
JAG
42%
26%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COR
1 - 2
JAG
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 3
JAG
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |