Envigado vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EQU
0 - 0
ENV
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
ENV
2 - 1
MIL
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
ENV
0 - 1
JUN
31%
28%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 2
CAL
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
IND
0 - 1
ALI
52%
25%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
EQU
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
IND
0 - 2
QUI
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 2
IND
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |