Envigado vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 0
ENV
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ENV
1 - 0
JUN
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
HUI
1 - 1
ENV
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
ENV
2 - 2
SFE
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ENV
2 - 0
AGU
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
TOL
18%
25%
58%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
FOR
69%
21%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
EQU
0 - 0
FOR
52%
27%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |