Envigado vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 2
ENV
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
ENV
2 - 1
SFE
30%
30%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
ENV
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 1
IND
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 0
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 2
JUN
24%
29%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 1
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 2
MIL
27%
28%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
ALI
31%
30%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 1
CUC
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |