SC Enschede vs Achilles '12 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Enschede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RHE
2 - 2
ENS
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DEZ
1 - 1
ENS
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ENS
0 - 2
SDO
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JON
0 - 2
ENS
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALV
3 - 0
ENS
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 1
DEZ
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SDO
2 - 0
ACH
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 3
JON
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DEB
3 - 2
ACH
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TUB
0 - 3
ACH
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |