Emulation vs Aiglon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GOL
3 - 1
EMU
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
EMU
2 - 0
CAS
45%
25%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
GOO
0 - 2
EMU
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EMU
1 - 1
SAM
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
EUC
0 - 1
EMU
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aiglon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AIG
3 - 3
GOO
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AIG
0 - 3
SAM
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
EUC
0 - 3
AIG
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
AIG
1 - 1
ESS
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
RCS
0 - 1
AIG
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |