Emulation vs Aiglon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 3
EMU
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
EMU
1 - 2
CLU
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 6
EMU
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
EMU
1 - 0
ESS
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GOL
1 - 1
EMU
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aiglon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AIG
1 - 1
GOO
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CLU
0 - 0
AIG
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ESS
2 - 1
AIG
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
AIG
0 - 0
GOL
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
AIG
1 - 0
CAS
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |