Empoli vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 1
EMP
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EMP
1 - 0
TER
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
EMP
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
EMP
2 - 1
JUS
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
EMP
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIE
27%
26%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
CES
0 - 2
SPE
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 2
PAD
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
SPE
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 1
TRA
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |