Emmen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2000 |
EIN
3 - 1
FCE
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2000 |
FCD
2 - 3
FCE
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
FCE
1 - 1
HEL
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
FCE
4 - 0
HFC
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
BVO
3 - 3
FCE
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
HER
1 - 0
BVO
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
GAE
5 - 0
HER
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
HER
0 - 3
VOL
54%
23%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
EXC
4 - 0
HER
73%
16%
10%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
HER
1 - 1
BOS
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |