Emmen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 0
FCE
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
FCE
2 - 0
TEL
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
FCO
0 - 1
FCE
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
FCE
1 - 1
VVV
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ADO
3 - 0
FCE
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1999 |
HER
1 - 1
FCD
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
HER
4 - 3
NAC
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
TEL
0 - 2
HER
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
HER
2 - 0
FCO
51%
24%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1999 |
VVV
0 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |