Copa Sudamericana Knock-outs 1/16
Global 1-0
CS Emelec vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 1
EME
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
EME
2 - 1
DAN
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CUE
3 - 2
EME
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
EME
0 - 0
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
EME
1 - 1
GUA
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 2
MAN
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 1
EME
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FLU
1 - 1
SPC
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |