Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 2-4
CS Emelec vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
EME
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EME
0 - 0
QUI
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOJ
0 - 2
EME
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
EME
4 - 0
ESP
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CUE
2 - 0
EME
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
EME
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LQE
3 - 1
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
GEN
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |