CS Emelec vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
6º
19
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
EME
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EME
0 - 0
AUC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
EME
0 - 1
DEL
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
TEC
0 - 0
EME
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
EME
0 - 0
ORE
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MUS
2 - 0
DEL
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 1
MUS
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MUS
2 - 2
BSC
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
MUS
3 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
MUS
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |