Primera A 1 Phase Round 1

CS Emelec vs Liga de Quito analysis

CS Emelec Liga de Quito
72 ELO 79
5.6% Tilt 2.7%
740º General ELO ranking 642º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.5%
CS Emelec
26.5%
Draw
32%
Liga de Quito

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
CS Emelec
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32%
Win probability
Liga de Quito
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CS Emelec
-6%
+34%
Liga de Quito

ELO progression

CS Emelec
Liga de Quito
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2004
EME
CS Emelec
6 - 1
Macará
MAC
63%
22%
15%
71 67 4 0
26 Sep. 2004
QUI
Dep. Quito
7 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
58%
23%
20%
72 76 4 -1
22 Sep. 2004
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 1
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
42%
27%
31%
71 76 5 +1
19 Sep. 2004
ESP
Espoli
3 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
33%
27%
40%
72 62 10 -1
12 Sep. 2004
EME
CS Emelec
1 - 0
CD El Nacional
NAC
42%
27%
32%
72 78 6 0

Matches

Liga de Quito
Liga de Quito
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2005
PEÑ
Peñarol
4 - 1
Liga de Quito
LDU
56%
23%
22%
80 79 1 0
04 Feb. 2005
LDU
Liga de Quito
3 - 0
Peñarol
PEÑ
45%
24%
31%
79 80 1 +1
19 Dec. 2004
LDU
Liga de Quito
1 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
54%
23%
22%
79 78 1 0
12 Dec. 2004
AUC
Aucas
0 - 2
Liga de Quito
LDU
44%
26%
30%
78 74 4 +1
08 Dec. 2004
NAC
CD El Nacional
1 - 0
Liga de Quito
LDU
48%
25%
27%
79 77 2 -1