CS Emelec vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
EME
0 - 1
BSC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 1
EME
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
EME
3 - 1
LOJ
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
UCE
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
EME
3 - 2
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 0
MUS
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
UCE
1 - 2
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
IVT
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 1
LOJ
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 0
IVT
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |