Primera A 2 Phase Round 3

CS Emelec vs Barcelona SC analysis

CS Emelec Barcelona SC
81 ELO 81
6.5% Tilt 1.6%
745º General ELO ranking 656º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.8%
CS Emelec
24.4%
Draw
21.8%
Barcelona SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
CS Emelec
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.8%
Win probability
Barcelona SC
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CS Emelec
+5%
-3%
Barcelona SC

ELO progression

CS Emelec
Barcelona SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2016
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 2
Mushuc Runa
MUS
69%
19%
12%
81 71 10 0
20 Oct. 2016
RIV
Guayaquil City
0 - 2
CS Emelec
EME
28%
26%
46%
81 73 8 0
16 Oct. 2016
IVT
Independiente del Valle
0 - 3
CS Emelec
EME
41%
26%
33%
81 78 3 0
09 Oct. 2016
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 1
Fuerza Amarilla
FAM
69%
17%
13%
81 72 9 0
30 Sep. 2016
FAM
Fuerza Amarilla
0 - 2
CS Emelec
EME
33%
25%
42%
80 71 9 +1

Matches

Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2016
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Guayaquil City
RIV
65%
21%
15%
81 72 9 0
20 Oct. 2016
LDU
Liga de Quito
1 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
41%
28%
32%
81 76 5 0
15 Oct. 2016
BSC
Barcelona SC
5 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
58%
23%
20%
81 75 6 0
01 Oct. 2016
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
CD El Nacional
NAC
61%
22%
17%
80 75 5 +1
25 Sep. 2016
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
35%
29%
37%
81 74 7 -1