Primera A 2 Phase Pilsener Cup Round 17

CS Emelec vs Barcelona SC analysis

CS Emelec Barcelona SC
80 ELO 79
3.6% Tilt -5.6%
740º General ELO ranking 650º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.5%
CS Emelec
24.4%
Draw
20.1%
Barcelona SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
CS Emelec
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
Barcelona SC
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CS Emelec
+5%
+5%
Barcelona SC

ELO progression

CS Emelec
Barcelona SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2014
MUS
Mushuc Runa
0 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
26%
27%
47%
81 71 10 0
13 Nov. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 1
LDU Loja
LOJ
56%
24%
20%
81 77 4 0
09 Nov. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 1
Universidad Católica
UCE
59%
23%
18%
81 75 6 0
06 Nov. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 2
São Paulo
SAO
35%
26%
39%
80 85 5 +1
02 Nov. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 1
Liga de Quito
LDU
63%
23%
14%
81 77 4 -1

Matches

Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2014
BSC
Barcelona SC
2 - 2
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
52%
25%
23%
79 72 7 0
09 Nov. 2014
OLM
CD Olmedo
0 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
31%
28%
41%
79 70 9 0
06 Nov. 2014
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 1
Manta
MAN
66%
22%
12%
79 67 12 0
01 Nov. 2014
IVT
Independiente del Valle
2 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
55%
24%
21%
80 81 1 -1
26 Oct. 2014
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
CD El Nacional
NAC
51%
26%
23%
79 75 4 +1