Embid vs Rivas AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Embid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
EMB
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
EMB
2 - 0
LUC
20%
21%
59%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAG
4 - 1
EMB
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
EMB
1 - 0
AGR
44%
24%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BOQ
4 - 2
EMB
65%
19%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Rivas AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 1
OLV
55%
20%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EUR
2 - 0
RIV
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PRA
0 - 2
RIV
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 1
MON
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUC
1 - 2
RIV
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |