Eltersdorf vs ASV Cham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
13º
2º
10
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 68 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 60 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 58 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 58 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 53 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 53 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 48 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 48 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 48 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 47 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 32 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 29 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
55% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 15 |
17º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 9.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2025 |
WUR
1 - 4
ELT
17%
23%
59%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
ELT
0 - 1
ATS
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
BAY
1 - 0
ELT
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
ELT
2 - 1
JRE
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
ELT
0 - 2
FSS
78%
16%
6%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
ASV Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2025 |
ASV
6 - 2
DJK
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
NEU
1 - 0
ASV
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
WUR
1 - 1
ASV
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
BAY
0 - 2
ASV
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ASV
2 - 1
JRE
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |