Elite Falcons vs Fursan Hispania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elite Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ELI
1 - 0
LAV
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MOO
0 - 1
ELI
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ELI
3 - 2
ITT
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ELI
6 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ELI
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fursan Hispania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FUR
3 - 0
LAL
32%
24%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FUR
4 - 1
MOO
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ITT
1 - 4
FUR
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FUR
4 - 1
ALN
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
FUR
1 - 5
LAL
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |