Elite 3 vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elite 3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 1
ELI
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ELI
0 - 1
BFR
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SVE
1 - 4
ELI
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ELI
1 - 3
RIS
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
ELI
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 2
SCE
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 3
VAN
22%
23%
54%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
HVI
9 - 1
BGA
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 4
SKJ
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
B93
1 - 3
BGA
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +2 |