CD Elgoibar vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Elgoibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
OST
1 - 6
ELG
39%
25%
36%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ELG
4 - 0
USU
64%
21%
15%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
AFT
2 - 0
ELG
55%
25%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 2
ELG
45%
26%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
ELG
1 - 1
MAR
46%
24%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
BTG
57%
24%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
HON
0 - 2
TOL
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 1
ORD
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
REA
3 - 0
TOL
27%
24%
50%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -2 |