Elgin City vs Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
10º
7º
58
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 0
ELG
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ELG
1 - 1
FOR
36%
27%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
ELG
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ELG
1 - 0
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CLY
2 - 1
ELG
44%
24%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CLY
0 - 0
SPA
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 6
DUM
54%
23%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
STE
0 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
SPA
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |