Eldense vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
DEN
3 - 0
ELD
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ELD
1 - 2
VCF
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
LEV
1 - 0
ELD
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 2
ELD
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ELD
1 - 3
SPO
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PEG
0 - 1
VIL
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 1
PEG
53%
26%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PEG
0 - 0
HER
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
BUÑ
0 - 0
PEG
23%
26%
51%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PEG
1 - 3
BUR
45%
28%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |