Eldense vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
ELD
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ELD
3 - 1
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
RAY
2 - 0
ELD
20%
22%
59%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 1
ELD
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ELD
1 - 1
PAI
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ELC
3 - 3
SAG
19%
24%
57%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
ELC
2 - 1
VIL
38%
25%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 1
ELC
53%
24%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
RAY
1 - 1
ELC
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ELC
0 - 0
OLI
27%
26%
46%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |