Eldense vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DEN
1 - 2
ELD
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ELD
2 - 0
JOV
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 0
ELD
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ELD
0 - 0
NOV
23%
25%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CRE
0 - 0
ELD
39%
26%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 1
ALZ
30%
28%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SAG
2 - 1
UTI
45%
27%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GAN
1 - 2
SAG
49%
26%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 0
CAS
19%
26%
55%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAG
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |