Elche vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
RCF
2 - 1
ELC
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ELC
2 - 0
POL
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
LEV
1 - 0
ELC
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ELC
1 - 3
LOR
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2005 |
REC
3 - 2
ELC
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
LLE
0 - 1
XER
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
RCF
0 - 0
LLE
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
LEM
0 - 2
LLE
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
LLE
5 - 0
NUM
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
POL
2 - 1
LLE
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |