Elche vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
EIB
2 - 1
ELC
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ELC
0 - 1
REC
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
MUR
3 - 1
ELC
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
EXT
1 - 2
ELC
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
ELC
1 - 1
LEV
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2001 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
REC
2 - 0
RJA
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
RJA
0 - 1
LEV
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
RJA
2 - 1
BET
19%
27%
55%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
GET
0 - 1
RJA
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |