Elche vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
XER
0 - 1
ELC
40%
32%
28%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
ELC
1 - 0
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
VCF
0 - 1
ELC
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
ELC
1 - 1
FIG
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
MAL
0 - 1
ELC
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
RAY
1 - 0
RMC
53%
27%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
RAY
2 - 2
XER
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1987 |
CEL
2 - 1
RAY
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
RAY
0 - 0
VCF
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
FIG
0 - 0
RAY
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |