Ilicitano vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
JOV
1 - 0
ELC
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ELC
2 - 0
OLI
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 0
ELC
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ELC
2 - 2
CAS
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
REC
0 - 2
ELC
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
5 - 0
BEN
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
JOV
0 - 0
VAL
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
4 - 0
OLI
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 3
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAS
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |