Ilicitano vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
ELC
1 - 2
CAL
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
BIG
0 - 1
ELC
68%
20%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ELC
0 - 1
AGU
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
VIL
0 - 0
ELC
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ELC
2 - 1
HOR
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
MUR
1 - 0
UDL
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
ATM
2 - 0
MUR
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
ESP
2 - 0
MUR
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
MUR
1 - 3
RMA
25%
25%
51%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
RMC
0 - 3
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |