Ilicitano vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1971 |
BAL
1 - 1
ELC
42%
29%
29%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
ELC
1 - 0
CDB
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
ADL
0 - 1
ELC
21%
26%
53%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
ELC
1 - 2
REC
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
SEV
2 - 0
ELC
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1971 |
RJA
3 - 0
BET
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
CFC
4 - 0
RJA
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
RJA
5 - 1
CDB
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
AGD
2 - 0
RJA
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
RJA
0 - 0
IMP
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |