Ilicitano vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CRE
2 - 1
ELC
31%
28%
42%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ELC
2 - 3
HOR
49%
26%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
SPR
0 - 0
ELC
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ALZ
1 - 2
ELC
45%
28%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ELC
0 - 0
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PEG
2 - 0
ALZ
28%
27%
45%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CAT
1 - 0
PEG
71%
19%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
PEG
0 - 0
DOL
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
TOR
3 - 1
PEG
74%
18%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
PEG
2 - 3
ONT
19%
25%
57%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |