Ilicitano vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
RAC
0 - 0
ELC
55%
24%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
ELC
1 - 2
BUR
41%
29%
30%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
ALA
2 - 1
ELC
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
ELC
0 - 2
ALI
70%
19%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
BEN
2 - 4
ELC
37%
27%
37%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
PEG
0 - 1
ASP
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
CAN
1 - 0
PEG
39%
29%
32%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
PEG
1 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
BEN
2 - 0
PEG
70%
20%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
PEG
0 - 1
OND
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |