Ilicitano vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
ELD
1 - 0
ELC
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
ELD
1 - 0
ELC
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
ELC
1 - 0
PIN
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
CFB
3 - 0
ELC
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
ELC
1 - 1
ORI
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
BIG
2 - 3
CFB
51%
26%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |