Elche C vs Novelda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
36%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+174%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ELC
4 - 1
CCT
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BIA
0 - 3
ELC
15%
18%
68%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BNY
0 - 2
ELC
66%
17%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ELC
1 - 2
ONI
17%
16%
67%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ELC
2 - 3
AGO
31%
20%
49%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 3
NOV
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 1
MON
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
RAY
2 - 2
NOV
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
NOV
6 - 5
VIL
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 3
NOV
45%
21%
33%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |