El Linqueño vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
6º
5º
38
6º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPB
4 - 0
LIN
53%
25%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
DHA
22%
27%
52%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
IND
27%
29%
44%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DFR
1 - 0
DPR
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DFR
3 - 2
SPB
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
DFR
42%
27%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
DFR
1 - 3
DHA
21%
28%
52%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 0
DFR
27%
26%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |