El Bayadh vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
13º
10º
39
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 65 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 52 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 50 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 39 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 38 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 37 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 37 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 30 |
15º
|
70% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 61% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Bayadh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
USK
2 - 0
EBA
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
EBA
1 - 0
PAR
36%
30%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
NCM
1 - 1
EBA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
EBA
4 - 0
SOU
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
EBA
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
USM
1 - 0
CCF
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SSU
0 - 2
USM
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
USM
2 - 0
ALH
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
USB
1 - 0
USM
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
SET
2 - 1
USM
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |