UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 4-6
Ekranas Panevezys vs FK Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
FKE
2 - 2
SUD
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
FAS
0 - 1
FKE
27%
27%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
FKE
2 - 1
FKT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 2
FKE
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
FKE
3 - 0
ATL
78%
15%
6%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
FK Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
FKB
4 - 0
MUG
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TUR
0 - 2
FKB
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
QAR
2 - 1
FKB
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FKB
1 - 0
SIM
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
FKB
1 - 2
QAR
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |