Poli Ejido vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UBC
0 - 0
POL
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
POL
4 - 2
POR
80%
15%
5%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
G74
0 - 2
POL
14%
24%
63%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
POL
2 - 0
ROQ
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
POL
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
MAR
33%
29%
39%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAD
6 - 2
SFE
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
BET
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 1
SFE
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
GRA
34%
27%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |