Poli Ejido vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 5
POL
20%
28%
52%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
POL
1 - 1
LOJ
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
CDL
2 - 1
POL
47%
27%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
POL
2 - 1
JUV
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 1
POL
44%
28%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MAN
0 - 0
UBE
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
VAN
1 - 2
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
MAN
3 - 1
UDS
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ROC
2 - 1
MAN
56%
22%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MAN
1 - 0
SIS
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |