Poli Ejido vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
POL
17%
26%
57%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
ECI
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SRQ
2 - 1
POL
17%
25%
58%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
SEV
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
POL
16%
25%
59%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AGD
2 - 1
GRA
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BET
2 - 1
AGD
31%
28%
40%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
AGD
1 - 0
MAR
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
JER
0 - 0
AGD
21%
28%
51%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
AGD
2 - 2
ALI
44%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |